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Table 1 Composite outcomes

From: Safety and efficacy of biological agents in the treatment of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE)

Biologics compared to placebo for the treatment of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus measured by composite responder rates

Patient or population: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Setting: Inpatients then outpatients

Intervention: Biologics

Comparison: Standard of care, placebo

Outcomes

№ of participants (studies) Follow-up

Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)

Relative effect (95% CI)

Anticipated absolute effects

Risk with Standard of care

Risk difference with Biologics

(SRI) 4 at 52 weeks—Anifrolumab

762 (2 RCTs)

Moderatea,b,c,e

RR 1.40 (0.94 to 2.08)

350 per 1,000

140 more per 1,000 (21 fewer to 378 more)

(SRI) 4 at 52 weeks—Sifalimumab

431 (1 RCT)

Moderatef

RR 1.28 (1.02 to 1.61)

454 per 1,000

127 more per 1,000 (9 more to 277 more)

(SRI) 4 at 52 weeks—Belimumab

3180 (4 RCTs)

Highh

RR 1.27 (1.18 to 1.38)

415 per 1,000

112 more per 1,000 (75 more to 158 more)

(SRI) 4 at 52 weeks—Telitacicept

249 (1 RCT)

Lowd,e,f,g

RR 2.12 (1.48 to 3.03)

339 per 1,000

379 more per 1,000 (163 more to 688 more)

BICLA response at 52 weeks—Anifrolumab

1121 (3 RCTs)

Moderatea,b,c,i

RR 1.56 (1.33 to 1.84)

293 per 1,000

164 more per 1,000 (97 more to 246 more)

BICLA response at 52 weeks—Sifalimumab

431 (1 RCT)

Moderatee,f

RR 1.29 (0.98 to 1.71)

361 per 1,000

105 more per 1,000 (7 fewer to 256 more)

  1. GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
  2. High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect
  3. Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different
  4. Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect
  5. Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect
  6. CI Confidence interval, RR Risk ratio
  7. The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
  8. Explanations
  9. aallocation concealment method not stated
  10. brandomisation method not stated
  11. cselective reporting, multiple analyses of data
  12. dWide CI
  13. esingle study
  14. fDid not meet OIS criterion
  15. gstudy protocols unavailable
  16. hI2 = 0, significant P and consistently overlapping CI
  17. iselective reporting, change in primary outcome resulting in significant outcome (Morand 2020)