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Public perceptions of predictive testing for rheumatoid arthritis compared to breast cancer and early-onset Alzheimer’s disease: a qualitative study



There is increasing research focus on prediction and prevention of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Information about risk of RA is increasingly available via direct-to-consumer testing. However, there is limited understanding of public perceptions around predictive testing for RA. This study explores public perceptions of predictive testing for RA in comparison to breast cancer (BC) and early-onset Alzheimer’s disease (AD).


Four focus groups with 21 members of the public were conducted using hypothetical vignettes about predictive testing for each disease. Transcripts of focus group proceedings were analysed inductively using thematic analysis.


Thematic analysis of the data produced three key themes: decision-making factors, consequences, and consumer needs. Factors suggested that might influence decision-making about predictive testing included family history, fear, and perceived severity and treatability of the illness. RA was perceived to be less severe and more treatable than BC/AD. Potential consequences of predictive testing across all diseases included lifestyle modification, planning for the future and discrimination by employers or insurers. Predictive testing for RA was perceived to have less potential for negative psychological consequences than other diseases. Participants highlighted that individuals undertaking predictive testing should be signposted to appropriate support services and receive information on the accuracy of predictive testing. It was suggested that strategies to mitigate concerns regarding communication and confidentiality of risk results are required.


The findings of this study reflect public misunderstandings regarding RA that may impact the uptake of and responses to predictive testing, and key informational needs of individuals considering a predictive test. Predictive strategies should be accompanied by awareness-raising initiatives and informational resources.

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Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic inflammatory joint disease affecting 1 in 100 individuals and is characterised by pain, stiffness and swelling of joints [1,2,3]. Extra-articular symptoms include fatigue, depression and cardiovascular disease. The aetiology of RA is not fully understood, but several risk factors have been identified including HLA-DRB1 allele expression, a positive family history, smoking, obesity, and poor dental health [4]. Many patients have RA-related autoantibodies, notably rheumatoid factor and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody, which can be present for several years before the onset of symptoms [5,6,7]. Early diagnosis and treatment initiation improves clinical outcomes by slowing disease progression and increasing the chance of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug-free remission [8, 9]. There is currently no cure for RA, and despite therapeutic interventions, a proportion of patients will still develop irreversible joint damage and loss of function. RA presents significant personal and economic burden due to increased healthcare use, disability and reduced ability to work [10,11,12].

Pre-clinical phases of RA represent windows within which it may be possible to identify individuals at-risk of developing the disease [7]. Research efforts are being increasingly directed towards the accurate identification of individuals at-risk of RA to facilitate preventive interventions. As the development of predictive algorithms continues and prevention trials are ongoing, it is increasingly likely that disease risk estimates for RA based on clinical variables, genetics, and other biomarkers will become available to members of the public via healthcare professionals or commercial providers [13, 14]. Therefore, it is important to understand public opinion and needs around predictive testing for RA, to inform policy and regulation in this context. Stakeholder perceptions of predictive testing for RA will inform future development of tailored information resources and preventive strategies.

Previous qualitative research has explored the perspectives of patients with RA, first-degree relatives and seropositive individuals (with and without clinically suspect arthralgia) on predictive testing [14,15,16,17,18,19]. Findings from these studies revealed concerns regarding the probabilistic nature of the risk information and potential negative psychosocial impacts. These studies emphasised a need for better psychological support, effective communication of risk information and adequate provision of information in order to facilitate decision-making about whether to undertake predictive testing. In addition, a lack of understanding about RA and its associated risk factors was noted. Studies on stakeholder perceptions about predictive testing for other diseases have highlighted social and ethical issues associated with risk information [20,21,22].

Comparisons across disease areas can provide valuable insights into perceptual variability and information needs [20]. No studies to date have explored the perceptions of members of the general public about predictive testing for RA, or how these may relate to testing for other diseases. The present study explores the differences and similarities in attitudes towards predictive testing for RA with those for breast cancer (BC) and early-onset Alzheimer’s disease (AD). These diseases differ in terms of the availability of treatments, and public perceptions about their severity and controllability [20]. The perceptions of the public may identify additional ethical concerns and barriers to effective communication of risk status. The findings will facilitate future clinical implementation of predictive tools for RA that incorporate information about genetic and other biomarkers, by providing insight into the educational and psychological support needs of individuals considering predictive testing.

Materials and methods

Study design

This study was a qualitative study, with an inductive approach, using focus groups following a structured discussion guide incorporating case vignettes [23]. Focus group with members of the general public were conducted at the Medical School of the University of Birmingham, United Kingdom (UK) between September and October 2017, as part of an international multi-centre comparative study of public perceptions of recent developments in genetic testing [24, 25]. Ethical approval was granted by the University of Birmingham Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics Ethical Review Committee (ERN_17-0298). Study reporting follows the Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research (COREQ) guidelines [26]. The completed COREQ checklist is provided in Additional file 1. The focus groups were facilitated by MF and GS (both female academic psychologists (PhDs) with expertise in mixed methods and behavioural rheumatology). The discussions were led by MF, whilst GS took field notes and provided practical support. One focus group was additionally attended and observed by IW, a female postgraduate doctoral research student with a background in health psychology, for training purposes.


Eligible participants were 18 years of age or older, able to attend a focus group at the University of Birmingham, and able to participate in a focus group conducted in English. Participants were recruited between June and October 2017. Recruitment was facilitated by posters distributed via a web-based recruitment platform for members of the public and social media networks. The study was additionally advertised via electronic mailing lists and virtual bulletin boards associated with the University of Birmingham. Those interested in taking part were asked to contact the researchers to register interest for further information via telephone or email. As participants were not approached by researchers we are unable to describe the characteristics or reasons of potential participants who chose not to participate. Potential participants were provided with a Participant Information Sheet and a summary of topics to be discussed during the focus groups, in advance of their participation in the focus groups. However, no information about the disease areas to be discussed was provided in advance of the focus groups. Individuals were contacted via phone or email to arrange participation in a focus groups. Participants were offered an incentive of £15 shopping vouchers in return for participating in the focus group.

Data collection

Participants were advised they could withdraw from the study at any time without consequence or providing a reason. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants prior to taking part in the focus group. Participants were not previously known to the researchers, and researchers introduced their role, experience, and interest in the research topic to participants at the start of each focus group. Each participant was assigned an identification number. Participants were identified by number, and not by name on all study documents, including focus group transcripts. Participants completed a background questionnaire gathering sociodemographic information.

Focus groups were guided by a semi-structured interview schedule shown in Additional file 2. Participants were asked to discuss three hypothetical vignettes describing situations where an individual considers undertaking predictive testing for BC, early-onset AD and RA respectively. The order of presentation of the vignettes was fixed across the focus groups. After each vignette was introduced, PowerPoint slides were used to present hypothetical results of the predictive tests to encourage further discussion (Additional file 2). Risk results were presented as natural frequencies (e.g. 20 out of 100 people) and using icon arrays. Development of the vignettes for BC and early-onset AD is described in detail elsewhere [24, 25]. The vignette relating to RA was developed with input from KR, a male Professor of Rheumatology and Honorary Consultant Rheumatologist with expertise in risk assessment for RA [27, 28].

Participants were informed that there is currently no cure for RA, though for many people the symptoms can be managed with long-term immunomodulatory medication, especially if diagnosed at an early stage. After initial discussion about the value of predictive testing for RA, participants were asked to imagine that a person receives test results that reveal their risk of developing RA before the age of 55 is 20%. Participants were then prompted to discuss how this result would affect the recipient’s wellbeing and lifestyle, and who, if anyone the recipient should share the result with. Participants were asked to compare their responses for the RA vignette with those for the preceding vignettes relating to BC and early-onset AD. Following each focus group, the facilitators reviewed the main themes discussed, practical considerations and, where appropriate, whether thematic saturation had been achieved.

Data analysis

The focus groups were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim using an independent transcription company. The objectives of the analysis were to explore perceptions of predictive testing for RA, and compare them with those for BC and early-onset AD. Analysis of the transcripts was conducted following an inductive thematic approach, facilitated by the NVivo software (version 12.0) and supplemented with researchers field notes [29]. The data were coded independently by JS and IW. Continuous comparison of the codes and development of themes was undertaken by discussion within the entire research team until there was consensus that thematic saturation had been reached.


Participant characteristics

Four focus groups were conducted with a total of 21 participants, including 13 females (61.9%). The majority of the participants were aged between 18 and 35 (61.9%) and had no children (66.7%). Participants were ethnically diverse with six individuals identifying as Asian (28.6%) and three individuals identifying as Black or African-Caribbean (14.3%). 11 participants (52.4%) were employed either full-time or part-time, and nine participants (42.9%) attained a degree-level of education. Some participants had prior experience of genetic testing (28.6%) and genetic screening (4.8%). The characteristics of the participants are presented in Table 1. The durations of the focus groups were between 90 to 120 min, and group size varied between four to seven participants.

Table 1 Participant characteristics

Codes and themes

Three key themes were identified: decision-making factors, consequences and consumer needs. The key themes and subthemes are summarized in Table 2 and described below using supporting quotations, referred to in the text using ‘Q’ followed by the code number. The supporting quotations are presented in Tables 3, 4, and 5.

Table 2 Overview of themes and sub-themes
Table 3 Quotations relating to decision-making factors influencing uptake of predictive testing
Table 4 Quotations relating to potential consequences of predictive testing
Table 5 Quotations relating to information and support needs of consumers of predictive testing

Factors affecting decision-making about predictive testing

This key theme describes participants’ views on factors that influence an individual’s decision to engage in predictive testing, and how this varies according to disease context. Factors mentioned include perceived severity and treatability of the illness, family history, fear of a negative outcome, age, occupation, health attitudes, social upbringing, co-morbidities, existing health services and media. The supporting quotations are shown in Table 3.

Participants were more likely to have positive views about predictive testing if they perceived a disease as severe and life-threatening. Early-onset AD was perceived as most severe and was likened to a “death sentence” (Q1–2), whereas RA was regarded as the least severe and was not perceived to be life-threatening (Q3–4). The participants described RA as a disease of “just achy joints and cranky knees”(Q5). Conversely, participants stated that, compared with testing for RA, individuals may be less likely to undergo predictive testing for early-onset AD and BC, due to the fear of discovering they may be at high-risk of AD or BC. (Q7–9). Being identified as being at high risk of RA appeared to be less fear-provoking.

The participants’ views on predictive testing were influenced by the perceived treatability of a disease. Participants stated that they would be less likely to engage in predictive testing for early-onset AD compared to BC, since there is currently limited pharmacological treatment for this condition (Q10–11). Participants further stated that they would be more likely to engage in predictive testing for RA if preventive strategies were available (Q12).

Family history seemed to variably affect decisions regarding predictive testing. Participants suggested that individuals with a family history of early-onset AD or RA would be less likely to undertake predictive testing since they may already be aware of their increased susceptibility (Q13–15). However, participants also stated that witnessing the effect of BC or early-onset AD on a family member would motivate an individual to undertake predictive testing (Q16–18). Some participants suggested that individuals would be more likely to undergo predictive testing for early-onset AD and BC if they had dependents, particularly children (Q19–22). In contrast, being a parent or carer was not perceived to influence an individual’s decision to engage in predictive testing for RA.

Age was suggested to affect the decision to undertake predictive testing (Q23–25) for all of the diseases that were discussed, including RA. Participants stated that younger individuals may be less likely to engage in predictive testing across all diseases, since they may be less concerned about disease onset which was perceived to occur in the later stages of life. Health attitudes and behaviours were suggested to influence decision making regarding predictive testing across disease areas, particularly in relation to willingness to modify lifestyle to reduce disease risk (Q26–27).

Other factors perceived to influence the likelihood of an individual engaging in predictive testing for all disease areas were level of education and the presence of co-morbidities (Q28–30). It was suggested that facilitating research advancements in personalised medicine may additionally motivate individuals to undertake predictive testing (Q32). Participants noted that an individual’s occupation and career aspirations may affect their interest in predictive testing for RA (Q33).

External factors such as existing healthcare services and media were also perceived to influence the uptake of predictive testing for BC. Participants stated that individuals may be less likely to undergo predictive testing for BC since a screening programme already exists (Q34–35). It was suggested that interest in predictive testing for BC may be greater than for other conditions due to greater awareness raised by high-profile celebrities (Q36).

Potential consequences of predictive testing

This theme describes participants’ views on the potential consequences of engaging in predictive testing and how this may vary according to disease context. Potential consequences of predictive testing discussed included lifestyle modifications, advanced future planning, research advancements, psychological effects, responsibility to disclose risk information to family members, risk of discrimination, early diagnosis and opportunities for self-learning. The supporting quotations are shown in Table 4.

Participants stated that individuals may be more likely to address their lifestyle to reduce their risk of developing the disease as a result of predictive testing for each of the diseases studied; for example smoking cessation, eating a balanced diet and exercising (Q37–40) were mentioned. However, participants also noted that individuals identified as low-risk of developing RA and BC may feel falsely reassured and consequently stop practising healthy behaviours (Q41–42).

Predictive testing was perceived to facilitate advanced planning for the future. It was suggested that individuals found to be at-risk of early-onset AD or BC could prepare for incapacity or death by preparation of their will, care plans, financial savings (Q43–46). In contrast, risk results for RA were perceived to potentially influence an individual’s decisions about house purchases or career options (Q47–49).

The responsibility of individuals to disclose risk results to family members was perceived to be disease-dependent. Individuals undertaking predictive testing for RA were perceived to have little responsibility to share their risk results (Q50), whereas for BC and early-onset AD importance was often placed on individuals informing their children, especially to inform daughters about BC risk (Q51–53). Participants also raised concerns about the risk of discrimination by employers and insurance companies across all diseases, highlighting a need of reassurance regarding confidentiality for potential consumers (Q54–57).

Predictive testing for early-onset AD and BC was perceived to have potential psychological consequences, though this was not discussed in relation to RA. It was suggested that predictive testing for early-onset AD and BC could have a positive psychological impact health as it reduces uncertainty around disease development (Q58). Conversely, the potential for knowledge of risk status to cause considerable distress was also discussed (Q59–62). It was also suggested that individuals undertaking predictive testing may require additional support to cope with their risk results (Q63–64).

Participants noted that predictive testing for RA has the potential to raise personal awareness of symptoms and treatment options, (Q65–67). In contrast, predictive testing for BC was likely to be associated with earlier diagnosis and consequently better prognosis because at-risk individuals may be more likely to regularly self-check their breasts or access screening services (Q68–69). Participants further suggested that individuals established to be at risk of BC should be offered more frequent mammograms and access to surveillance (Q70).

Information and support needs for consumers of predictive testing

This theme describes the information and support needs that participants discussed in relation to predictive testing, and how these may vary according to disease context. The supporting quotations are shown in Table 5.

Participants stated that, irrespective of disease context, potential users of risk assessment interventions should be provided with information on the accuracy of such assessments and evidence in support of predictive testing across all diseases (Q71–74). Additionally, it was suggested that information on available treatment options and prevention strategies should be offered to potential consumers to enable informed decision-making on participation in predictive testing for RA and BC (Q75–79). This informational need was not discussed in relation to early-onset AD.

Participants further acknowledged that risk results across all diseases should be communicated in a manner that ensured understanding but avoided individuals feeling overwhelmed (Q80–83). Due to the likelihood of negative psychological consequences such as worry, it was perceived to be important that all individuals engaging in predictive testing were signposted to appropriate support (Q84–86). The support needs of individuals engaging in predictive testing were more often discussed in relation to BC than they were in relation to early-onset AD and RA.


Summary of findings

This qualitative study explored public perceptions of predictive testing for RA in comparison to early-onset AD and BC in relation to three key themes: decision-making factors, consequences and consumer needs. In each of these areas, there were key differences in participants’ viewpoints according to the disease in question, which often related to the participants’ perceptions that RA was more treatable and had less of a negative impact on people’s lives than the other diseases discussed. This finding is in agreement with prior research describing commonly held misperceptions about RA [15, 16].

Factors suggested to influence an individual’s decision to engage in predictive testing across all diseases included perceived severity of the illness, treatability, family history, age, health attitudes, upbringing and the presence of co-morbidities. Results for BC and AD aligned with those of a similar study in Germany [25]. However predictive testing was more often perceived in a positive light for BC and AD than for RA in the present study.

Potential consequences of predictive testing across all diseases included implementation of healthy lifestyle modification and advanced future planning. Consistent with previous research on public perceptions of predictive testing in other disease contexts, the participants reported concerns relating to the risk of discrimination by employers and insurance companies [21]. The psychological impact of predictive testing for individuals was perceived to be much greater for early-onset AD and BC in comparison to RA. Furthermore, there was more ambiguity regarding an individual’s responsibility to disclose risk results for RA compared to both early-onset AD and BC. Predictive testing involving genetic information raises complex ethical issues around responsibility relating to the individual, their family, and their healthcare professionals, which are discussed extensively elsewhere [25, 30]. Our results highlight the importance of understanding the interplay between these ethical issues and illness perceptions, and how this interplay varies across diseases. It was suggested that predictive testing may motivate at-risk individuals to increase awareness of early symptoms and treatment options. This could have a positive impact on help seeking for RA, as delayed help seeking for RA is known to be a major source of treatment delay and worse clinical outcomes [31].

There were fewer differences across the diseases addressed in this study in relation to the information needs and support services that participants suggested were important for those considering/taking predictive tests. Information on the accuracy of predictive testing was perceived to be important in all disease contexts. In addition, the perceived educational needs of potential consumers of predictive testing for both RA and BC included information on available treatment options and preventive strategies. In accordance with previous research, the participants’ discussions highlighted a need for awareness-raising initiatives and educational resources centred on RA [14, 15]. Although the likelihood of negative psychological consequences in relation to predictive testing for RA was thought to be minimal, it was suggested that consumers of predictive testing across all disease contexts should be signposted to appropriate support services.

Strengths and limitations

To the authors’ knowledge, this is the first qualitative study to explore public perceptions of predictive testing for RA in comparison with other disease areas. Our study sample is well- balanced across genders, ages and ethnicities. However, there are some limitations. Firstly, the sample was limited to individuals who were able to attend a focus group in-person in Birmingham, UK and may not be representative of other populations. Further work is needed to understand how perspectives on predictive testing vary across populations and cultures [32]. Secondly, it is possible that our sample is compromised by selection bias, since participants may have been more interested in health issues compared to the general population. Thirdly, the order of the disease vignettes was not alternated across the focus groups. Therefore, it is possible that discussion about early-onset AD and BC vignettes before that relating to RA influenced the responses provided by the participants to the third vignette. Finally, the participants responses to hypothetical vignettes may not reflect real world responses to predictive testing [33]. Whilst the current analysis generates insights by comparing RA with BC and AD, the findings may not transfer to comparisons with other diseases. Whilst this qualitative study generated rich insights about perceptions of predictive testing for RA by asking participants to consider comparisons between disease areas, it was not designed to test formal hypotheses about differences between diseases. Quantitative studies designed to address the latter objective would be an interesting area of further investigation.

Notwithstanding these potential limitations, this exploratory study demonstrates that perceptual variation across disease contexts is worthy of further investigation to inform policy and practice in this rapidly evolving area.


In conclusion, there was considerable overlap across all three diseases regarding decision-making factors, consequences and information needs. However, predictive testing was perceived to be of less utility for RA, and to be associated with fewer psychological and moral consequences than BC or early-onset AD. The potential for predictive testing to result in earlier intervention was noted for RA and BC. The information and support needs identified in this study across disease areas should be incorporated into tailored resources to support informed decision-making and service design of future predictive testing programs. Strategies to mitigate concerns regarding communication and confidentiality of disease risk results are required.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.



Rheumatoid arthritis


Breast cancer


Early-onset Alzheimer’s disease


United Kingdom


Consolidated criteria for reporting qualitative research guidelines


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The authors would like to thank Silke Schicktanz for initiating the comparative study that incorporated the current study.


This work was supported by the Swedish Foundation for Humanities and Social Sciences (Riksbankens Jubileumsfond) [grant number M13–0260:1]. IW is supported by Versus Arthritis, [grant number: 21560]. KR is supported by the NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre. The funders had no role in the study design, data collection and analysis, or preparation of this manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations



JS: Contributed to data coding, analysis and drafting of the manuscript. IW: Contributed to data coding, analysis and revision of the manuscript. GS: Contributed to study conception, design, data collection, analysis and revision of the manuscript. SW: Contributed to study conception, design and revision of the manuscript. KR: Contributed to study conception, design and revision of the manuscript. MF: Contributed to study conception, design, data collection, analysis and revision of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Marie Falahee.

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This study was performed in accordance with the declaration of Helsinki, and was granted ethical approval by the University of Birmingham Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics Ethical Review Committee (ERN_17-0298). Informed consent was obtained for all participants.

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The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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Supplementary Information

Additional file 1.

COREQ checklist.

Additional file 2.

Semi-structured interview schedule.

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Singhal, J., Wells, I., Simons, G. et al. Public perceptions of predictive testing for rheumatoid arthritis compared to breast cancer and early-onset Alzheimer’s disease: a qualitative study. BMC Rheumatol 6, 14 (2022).

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